Canada Life Insurance Quote: To Wait or Not on Interest Rates
Thursday, July 9th, 2009
There has been a major upheaval in the world of lending and home loans. What can we imagine wil happen? Is there any way to know if the rates will continue to go down?
Tight conditions in the lending world should normally lead to lower rates, since lenders would have to lower rates in order to attract customers with good credit ratings. But ironically, banks are tightening their purse strings for all borrowers and even the best cases are seeing higher rates.
This seems like a bad business decision; normally a business will lower prices when business is bad in order to get whatever business they can. Matters in the financial industry are far from normal, however, and credit card companies are also using this strategy of higher rates to increase revenue in this tight market.
It used to be that when the economy slowed down, lenders would lower their interest rates and this would add incentive to borrowers. Today, though, the financial industry is so disrupted that matters was considered normal before are not now.
What does all of this mean for someone who needs to decide if this is the right time to borrow for a home? Wait for this time to pass and for rates to lower or grab a loan now, while there is still some credit available, or wait for the fallout from the recession?
The economy is undoubtedly in a recession and some ar even talking about a depression, which would lead to deflation. Deflationary tendencies normally mean decreased to even negative real interest rates, and that would mean borrowers ought to wait a little longer.
Some lenders are still actively seeking borrowers. Many small lenders never had the capital to delve into the massive home loan programs that many of the larger banks did. This was because a lot of them were too small to expand into this highflying arena of subprime loans.
Another argument for waiting is that housing prices are also most likely not at the bottom and may fall an additional 10% over the 25% drop seen over the last year. A study of housing prices conducted by researcher Case-Schiller shows an average decrease of 17%, but some regions with home prices falling 25%. If the scenario is set not only for decreased rates, but also for lower home prices, it would seem smart to wait until more of the credit crisis fallout can be judged.